This slate locked Thu 8:15 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Thu-Mon) slate · 14 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 18.6 DraftKings points against 22.7 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 22.1 DraftKings points against 25.2 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud QB · HOU vs NYG | $5,700 | 19.0 | 3.33x | 16.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III RB · KC vs SEA | $9,000 | 29.8 | 3.31x | 9.7 |
| Jared Goff QB · DET vs GB | $6,800 | 22.2 | 3.26x | 22.0 |
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG vs HOU | $5,300 | 17.2 | 3.25x | 3.2 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs KC | $8,600 | 27.6 | 3.21x | 34.3 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs CHI | $6,500 | 20.9 | 3.21x | 31.4 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs GB | $9,800 | 31.4 | 3.20x | 21.3 |
| Malik Nabers WR · NYG vs HOU | $6,800 | 21.7 | 3.20x | 21.1 |
| Bryce Young QB · CAR vs TB | $5,900 | 18.7 | 3.17x | 8.4 |
| Jordan Love QB · GB vs DET | $6,000 | 18.8 | 3.13x | 18.0 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs GB | $9,800 | 31.4 | 48.6 | 21.3 |
| Kenneth Walker III RB · KC vs SEA | $9,000 | 29.8 | 45.0 | 9.7 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs KC | $8,600 | 27.6 | 43.1 | 34.3 |
| Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs LV | $8,400 | 25.0 | 41.7 | 21.8 |
| Jared Goff QB · DET vs GB | $6,800 | 22.2 | 34.1 | 22.0 |
| Christian McCaffrey RB · SF vs ATL | $7,600 | 22.1 | 34.7 | 22.0 |
| Malik Nabers WR · NYG vs HOU | $6,800 | 21.7 | 36.1 | 21.1 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL vs PHI | $8,000 | 21.5 | 38.3 | 24.4 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| DET vs GB | 73.3 | — |
| LAR vs LV | 63.0 | — |
| KC vs SEA | 60.4 | — |
| CAR vs TB | 58.7 | — |
| SF vs ATL | 57.1 | — |
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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