NFL DFS · Thursday, November 12, 2026

NFL DFS picks for Thursday, November 12

StatWarrior's top NFL DFS value today is Joe Burrow (QB, CIN, $7,200, 26.9 projected points); the highest projection on the slate is Joe Burrow at 26.9.

DraftKings · Classic (Thu-Mon) slate · 14 games · locks Thu 8:15 PM ET.

Source: StatWarrior projections for this DraftKings slate, last updated Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET. Salaries are DraftKings'. The page rebuilds from the latest data every time it loads.

Top values (points per $1K)

Value is projected DraftKings points per $1,000 of salary. Across the full $50K cap, every 1.0x of average value is worth about 50 lineup points, so cheap players with high value free up salary for the stars. Own% is projected ownership: the share of a modeled contest field expected to roster him (lower = more leverage in tournaments).

Best projected points per $1,000 of salary
PlayerSalaryProjValueOwn%
Joe Burrow
QB · CIN vs PIT
$7,20026.93.73x13%
C.J. Stroud
QB · HOU vs CLE
$5,90022.03.73x11%
Jordan Love
QB · GB vs MIN
$6,50023.03.54x10%
Kirk Cousins
QB · MIN vs GB
$5,30017.73.34x7%
Drake Maye
QB · NE vs DET
$6,80021.83.21x5%
Tony Pollard
RB · TEN vs JAX
$6,00019.33.21x19%
Tee Higgins
WR · CIN vs PIT
$7,40022.63.06x16%
Cam Ward
QB · TEN vs JAX
$4,80014.73.05x4%
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN vs PIT
$8,10024.53.03x17%
Vikings
DST · MIN vs GB
$2,8008.42.99x8%

Highest projections

Highest projected points on the slate (average outcome)
PlayerSalaryProjCeiling
Joe Burrow
QB · CIN vs PIT
$7,20026.945.4
Kenneth Walker III
RB · KC vs ATL
$9,20025.947.1
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · DET vs NE
$9,70024.543.8
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL vs SF
$8,80024.545.3
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN vs PIT
$8,10024.543.5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA vs LV
$9,30024.443.6
Jordan Love
QB · GB vs MIN
$6,50023.040.2
Christian McCaffrey
RB · SF vs DAL
$8,50022.738.3

Stack ideas

Teams whose top 3 players project the most points together
TeamTop-3 projectionImplied team total
CIN vs PIT74.0—
GB vs MIN66.2—
DAL vs SF61.8—
SF vs DAL56.1—
DET vs NE54.7—

How to use these NFL DFS picks

  • Cash games (50/50s, double-ups): start from the top values and highest projections; you want a high floor, not leverage.
  • Tournaments (GPPs): pair the top values with one of the stack ideas, and lean toward lower projected ownership where projections are close, so your lineup differs from the field.
  • Before lock: re-check news. This page rebuilds from StatWarrior's latest data every time it loads, and players ruled out are removed automatically.

Turn these into 150 lineups

StatWarrior is the exclusive home of WarriorSim™ Optimization: it simulates the slate thousands of times and builds up to 150 DraftKings or FanDuel tournament lineups with the most ways to finish on top, inside the salary cap, then exports an upload-ready file. One plan, $29/month.

Get StatWarrior How the NFL optimizer works

Before you build: read how WarriorSim compares lineups against a modeled field, or follow the step-by-step NFL example. The track record shows how StatWarrior's past slates scored against official box scores.

Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Past NFL DFS picks and results

Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Thu, Nov 5 · Mon, Nov 2 · Sun, Nov 1 · Thu, Oct 29 · Mon, Oct 26

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