Player props

Player prop analytics and hit rates

Compare the line to the distribution behind it. For each prop, see the best price across sportsbooks, the model's over/under probability and how often the player has cleared it lately.

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One player prop priced at eight sportsbooks next to the model's fair price

Research every prop

  • Best line and price across multiple sportsbooks, with the market's fair probability after removing the margin.
  • Model distribution for the stat, with the over/under probability at the posted line.
  • Hit rates over recent games, game by game.
  • +EV flags when the best price beats the fair probability.
  • Props all day, every sport in season, refreshed continuously before games start.

How to read hit rates, probability and price

A recent hit rate records how often a player cleared a chosen line in past games. Model probability estimates the chance of the upcoming outcome at the posted line. Use the historical record as context, then compare the model estimate with the price for the exact line you are researching. Recheck player availability and the current sportsbook quote, because both can change after a refresh.

Explore WarriorCast game simulations for NBA, NFL and NHL for game-level context, and sports betting analytics for moneylines, spreads and totals. A recent streak or model estimate cannot guarantee the next result.

Questions

Do you place bets?

No. StatWarrior is research only. You place bets with a licensed sportsbook where it is legal for you.

Which sports have props?

NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL in season, plus other sports when books post them.

How much does StatWarrior cost?

One plan, $29/month, with every tool included: the optimizer, projections, simulations, props and betting analytics. Cancel anytime in two clicks.

Is StatWarrior a sportsbook or a DFS site?

No. StatWarrior is a research and analytics tool. You build and export lineups here, then enter contests or place bets on DraftKings, FanDuel or wherever you choose, under their rules and the laws where you live.

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