This slate locked Fri 8:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 2 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 4 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 11.7 DraftKings points against 12.9 projected.
- Highest projections: 3 of 7 met or beat their projection; they averaged 14.1 DraftKings points against 15.6 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Dobson D · MTL vs CHI | $4,500 | 12.2 | 2.70x | 5.6 |
| Mike Matheson D · MTL vs CHI | $3,500 | 9.3 | 2.65x | 14.3 |
| Chris Kreider W · MTL vs CHI | $3,900 | 8.7 | 2.22x | 1.5 |
| Brock Nelson C · COL vs TBL | $4,700 | 10.3 | 2.18x | 2.6 |
| Cole Caufield W · MTL vs CHI | $7,500 | 15.9 | 2.12x | 6.0 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C · COL vs TBL | $9,200 | 19.4 | 2.11x | 33.8 |
| Lane Hutson D · MTL vs CHI | $5,800 | 12.2 | 2.11x | 0.0 |
| Jacob Fowler G · MTL vs CHI | $7,800 | 16.4 | 2.10x | 16.5 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky W · MTL vs CHI | $6,100 | 12.5 | 2.05x | 5.8 |
| Jake Guentzel W · TBL vs COL | $6,200 | 12.5 | 2.02x | 30.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon C · COL vs TBL | $9,200 | 19.4 | 34.1 | 33.8 |
| Nikita Kucherov W · TBL vs COL | $8,700 | 17.1 | 30.3 | 4.3 |
| Jacob Fowler G · MTL vs CHI | $7,800 | 16.4 | 29.1 | 16.5 |
| Cole Caufield W · MTL vs CHI | $7,500 | 15.9 | 28.2 | 6.0 |
| Dennis Hildeby G · TBL vs COL | $7,400 | 13.8 | 24.6 | — |
| Cale Makar D · COL vs TBL | $7,200 | 13.6 | 24.2 | 4.5 |
| Brandon Hagel W · TBL vs COL | $7,700 | 13.4 | 23.9 | 8.0 |
| Martin Necas W · COL vs TBL | $6,700 | 13.3 | 23.7 | 25.6 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| COL vs TBL | 46.3 | — |
| MTL vs CHI | 44.8 | 2.5 |
| TBL vs COL | 44.3 | — |
| CHI vs MTL | 29.1 | 2.5 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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