This slate locked Mon 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 3 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 7.5 DraftKings points against 12.7 projected.
- Highest projections: 1 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 8.9 DraftKings points against 16.0 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman D · EDM vs DET | $3,200 | 8.9 | 2.77x | 0.0 |
| Jake McCabe D · TOR vs CGY | $3,000 | 8.3 | 2.76x | 6.9 |
| Morgan Rielly D · TOR vs CGY | $3,300 | 8.8 | 2.68x | 9.1 |
| Darren Raddysh D · TOR vs CGY | $5,500 | 13.7 | 2.48x | 7.1 |
| William Nylander W · TOR vs CGY | $6,400 | 14.0 | 2.19x | 14.5 |
| Kirill Marchenko W · TOR vs CGY | $5,900 | 12.8 | 2.17x | 1.5 |
| Connor McDavid C · EDM vs DET | $9,700 | 20.8 | 2.14x | 8.0 |
| Zach Hyman W · EDM vs DET | $6,200 | 13.0 | 2.10x | 3.0 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C · EDM vs DET | $4,700 | 9.6 | 2.05x | 15.5 |
| Auston Matthews C · TOR vs CGY | $8,500 | 17.2 | 2.02x | 9.1 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid C · EDM vs DET | $9,700 | 20.8 | 38.6 | 8.0 |
| Leon Draisaitl W · EDM vs DET | $9,200 | 17.4 | 32.6 | 9.5 |
| Auston Matthews C · TOR vs CGY | $8,500 | 17.2 | 32.1 | 9.1 |
| Dylan Garand G · NYR vs LAK | $8,200 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 3.5 |
| Evan Bouchard D · EDM vs DET | $8,200 | 15.6 | 29.2 | 9.9 |
| William Nylander W · TOR vs CGY | $6,400 | 14.0 | 26.4 | 14.5 |
| Darren Raddysh D · TOR vs CGY | $5,500 | 13.7 | 25.8 | 7.1 |
| Tristan Jarry G · EDM vs DET | $8,400 | 13.5 | 25.5 | 9.7 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| EDM vs DET | 53.8 | 4.0 |
| TOR vs CGY | 44.8 | 3.9 |
| NYR vs LAK | 38.8 | — |
| LAK vs NYR | 33.4 | — |
| DET vs EDM | 31.8 | 2.5 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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