This slate locked Wed 7:30 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 4 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 9 met or beat their projection; they averaged 8.7 DraftKings points against 9.8 projected.
- Highest projections: 1 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 12.1 DraftKings points against 17.1 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman D · EDM vs CGY | $3,200 | 8.9 | 2.78x | — |
| Anthony Mantha W · NJD vs COL | $3,400 | 8.6 | 2.54x | 3.0 |
| Jake McCabe D · TOR vs SEA | $3,300 | 8.4 | 2.53x | 4.1 |
| Jordan Kyrou W · WSH vs PHI | $3,700 | 9.3 | 2.50x | 22.8 |
| Morgan Rielly D · TOR vs SEA | $3,600 | 8.9 | 2.48x | 2.6 |
| Boone Jenner W · WSH vs PHI | $3,600 | 8.9 | 2.47x | 2.6 |
| Darren Raddysh D · TOR vs SEA | $5,800 | 13.7 | 2.37x | 11.5 |
| Aliaksei Protas W · WSH vs PHI | $4,100 | 9.7 | 2.35x | 13.0 |
| Mattias Ekholm D · EDM vs CGY | $3,800 | 8.8 | 2.30x | 14.3 |
| Alex Ovechkin W · WSH vs PHI | $5,200 | 11.8 | 2.26x | 4.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid C · EDM vs CGY | $9,800 | 20.9 | 39.0 | 14.5 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C · COL vs NJD | $9,000 | 18.8 | 35.3 | 11.5 |
| Leon Draisaitl W · EDM vs CGY | $9,300 | 17.5 | 32.9 | 3.0 |
| Auston Matthews C · TOR vs SEA | $8,600 | 17.2 | 32.3 | 27.5 |
| Logan Thompson G · WSH vs PHI | $8,300 | 17.2 | 32.3 | 15.1 |
| Evan Bouchard D · EDM vs CGY | $8,300 | 15.6 | 29.4 | 13.6 |
| Jack Hughes C · NJD vs COL | $8,000 | 15.2 | 28.8 | 5.6 |
| William Nylander W · TOR vs SEA | $6,800 | 14.1 | 26.8 | 5.8 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| EDM vs CGY | 54.0 | 4.0 |
| COL vs NJD | 45.2 | — |
| TOR vs SEA | 45.1 | 3.9 |
| WSH vs PHI | 44.5 | 2.4 |
| NJD vs COL | 37.6 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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