This slate locked Thu 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 2 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 36.1 DraftKings points against 48.2 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 36.1 DraftKings points against 50.5 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG · OKC vs DEN | $9,900 | 63.5 | 6.41x | 27.5 |
| Nikola Jokic C · DEN vs OKC | $10,900 | 66.8 | 6.12x | 32.8 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs CLE | $8,000 | 47.5 | 5.94x | 48.8 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs PHI | $8,200 | 48.0 | 5.86x | 55.0 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs CLE | $7,700 | 44.6 | 5.79x | 34.3 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs PHI | $7,900 | 45.6 | 5.77x | 31.0 |
| Jaylen Brown SF · PHI vs CLE | $7,600 | 43.5 | 5.73x | 37.5 |
| Jamal Murray PG · DEN vs OKC | $7,800 | 44.2 | 5.67x | 22.0 |
| LeBron James PF · PHI vs CLE | $7,000 | 39.0 | 5.57x | 44.5 |
| James Harden PG · CLE vs PHI | $7,100 | 39.2 | 5.53x | 27.8 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic C · DEN vs OKC | $10,900 | 66.8 | 102.3 | 32.8 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG · OKC vs DEN | $9,900 | 63.5 | 100.9 | 27.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs PHI | $8,200 | 48.0 | 75.6 | 55.0 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs CLE | $8,000 | 47.5 | 76.4 | 48.8 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs PHI | $7,900 | 45.6 | 72.1 | 31.0 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs CLE | $7,700 | 44.6 | 71.9 | 34.3 |
| Jamal Murray PG · DEN vs OKC | $7,800 | 44.2 | 70.1 | 22.0 |
| Jaylen Brown SF · PHI vs CLE | $7,600 | 43.5 | 70.2 | 37.5 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| DEN vs OKC | 138.0 | 114.3 |
| PHI vs CLE | 135.7 | 119.6 |
| CLE vs PHI | 132.9 | 117.2 |
| OKC vs DEN | 128.1 | 122.4 |
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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