This slate locked Fri 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 6 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 1 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 37.1 DraftKings points against 60.8 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 42.1 DraftKings points against 64.0 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero PF · ORL vs MIN | $9,000 | 66.2 | 7.35x | 30.0 |
| Cooper Flagg PG/SF · DAL vs IND | $8,900 | 63.4 | 7.12x | 36.8 |
| Anthony Edwards SG · MIN vs ORL | $9,500 | 67.0 | 7.05x | 34.0 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs CHA | $9,100 | 63.8 | 7.01x | 46.3 |
| Anthony Davis PF · WAS vs TOR | $8,600 | 59.9 | 6.97x | 24.3 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs NYK | $9,200 | 63.1 | 6.86x | 64.3 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs MIA | $9,700 | 64.2 | 6.62x | 36.0 |
| Tyrese Haliburton PG · IND vs DAL | $8,000 | 52.8 | 6.60x | 40.5 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs BOS | $8,300 | 54.7 | 6.59x | 39.5 |
| Bam Adebayo C · MIA vs DET | $8,200 | 52.5 | 6.41x | 19.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards SG · MIN vs ORL | $9,500 | 67.0 | 106.3 | 34.0 |
| Paolo Banchero PF · ORL vs MIN | $9,000 | 66.2 | 105.0 | 30.0 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs MIA | $9,700 | 64.2 | 102.1 | 36.0 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs DET | $10,200 | 64.1 | 101.9 | 65.0 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs CHA | $9,100 | 63.8 | 101.3 | 46.3 |
| Cooper Flagg PG/SF · DAL vs IND | $8,900 | 63.4 | 100.7 | 36.8 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs NYK | $9,200 | 63.1 | 100.4 | 64.3 |
| Anthony Davis PF · WAS vs TOR | $8,600 | 59.9 | 95.5 | 24.3 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| MIN vs ORL | 146.3 | 116.5 |
| BOS vs NYK | 138.7 | — |
| NYK vs BOS | 138.1 | — |
| WAS vs TOR | 137.7 | 114.0 |
| MIA vs DET | 137.3 | 116.7 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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