This slate locked Wed 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 9 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 0 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 42.8 DraftKings points against 53.2 projected.
- Highest projections: 0 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 45.0 DraftKings points against 56.5 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs MIA | $9,500 | 61.3 | 6.45x | 42.8 |
| Pascal Siakam PF · IND vs PHI | $7,700 | 49.3 | 6.40x | 46.3 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs WAS | $8,600 | 54.7 | 6.36x | 38.3 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs IND | $8,700 | 54.2 | 6.23x | 40.8 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs IND | $8,400 | 51.7 | 6.16x | 39.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs CHI | $8,500 | 51.0 | 6.00x | 45.8 |
| Jamal Murray PG · DEN vs NOP | $8,500 | 50.5 | 5.95x | 39.3 |
| Anthony Davis PF · WAS vs CLE | $8,900 | 52.7 | 5.92x | 35.8 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs ATL | $10,200 | 60.1 | 5.89x | 55.5 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs WAS | $7,900 | 46.5 | 5.88x | 44.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs MIA | $9,500 | 61.3 | 100.3 | 42.8 |
| Nikola Jokic C · DEN vs NOP | $12,000 | 61.1 | 99.9 | 55.3 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs ATL | $10,200 | 60.1 | 98.4 | 55.5 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs CHA | $9,900 | 55.9 | 91.7 | 52.3 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs WAS | $8,600 | 54.7 | 89.9 | 38.3 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs IND | $8,700 | 54.2 | 89.1 | 40.8 |
| Anthony Davis PF · WAS vs CLE | $8,900 | 52.7 | 86.7 | 35.8 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs IND | $8,400 | 51.7 | 85.1 | 39.3 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| PHI vs IND | 152.2 | 120.7 |
| CLE vs WAS | 141.9 | 124.7 |
| DEN vs NOP | 139.0 | — |
| MIA vs ATL | 128.9 | 119.9 |
| WAS vs CLE | 128.5 | 115.0 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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