This slate locked Thu 8:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 3 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 1 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 33.4 DraftKings points against 48.9 projected.
- Highest projections: 1 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 35.2 DraftKings points against 51.5 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs NOP | $9,200 | 60.6 | 6.58x | 40.8 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs ATL | $8,600 | 56.3 | 6.55x | 32.8 |
| Zion Williamson PF · NOP vs SAC | $7,500 | 47.5 | 6.33x | 43.0 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs CLE | $9,500 | 59.7 | 6.29x | 36.5 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs ATL | $7,900 | 48.1 | 6.08x | 28.0 |
| Trey Murphy III SG/SF · NOP vs SAC | $7,300 | 43.9 | 6.01x | 32.8 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs POR | $8,300 | 49.6 | 5.98x | 20.0 |
| Deni Avdija PF · POR vs MEM | $7,800 | 46.3 | 5.93x | 47.8 |
| James Harden PG · CLE vs ATL | $7,400 | 42.1 | 5.69x | 36.3 |
| Derik Queen PF/C · NOP vs SAC | $6,300 | 35.4 | 5.62x | 16.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs NOP | $9,200 | 60.6 | 98.1 | 40.8 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs CLE | $9,500 | 59.7 | 96.9 | 36.5 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs ATL | $8,600 | 56.3 | 91.7 | 32.8 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs POR | $8,300 | 49.6 | 81.0 | 20.0 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs ATL | $7,900 | 48.1 | 78.8 | 28.0 |
| Zion Williamson PF · NOP vs SAC | $7,500 | 47.5 | 78.1 | 43.0 |
| Deni Avdija PF · POR vs MEM | $7,800 | 46.3 | 75.8 | 47.8 |
| Trey Murphy III SG/SF · NOP vs SAC | $7,300 | 43.9 | 72.7 | 32.8 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| CLE vs ATL | 146.5 | 118.3 |
| SAC vs NOP | 133.1 | — |
| ATL vs CLE | 126.8 | 119.5 |
| NOP vs SAC | 126.7 | — |
| MEM vs POR | 117.9 | 112.7 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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