This slate locked Sun 3:30 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 4 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 40.0 DraftKings points against 43.9 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 44.1 DraftKings points against 47.9 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes SF/PF · TOR vs LAL | $8,700 | 49.1 | 5.64x | 45.5 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs ORL | $10,100 | 55.4 | 5.49x | 50.0 |
| Austin Reaves PG/SG · LAL vs TOR | $8,900 | 48.4 | 5.44x | 28.3 |
| Pascal Siakam PF · IND vs BKN | $8,400 | 45.5 | 5.42x | 31.3 |
| Paul George SG/SF · BOS vs ORL | $7,200 | 38.5 | 5.34x | 44.0 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs BOS | $8,300 | 44.1 | 5.31x | 40.0 |
| Julius Randle PF · BKN vs IND | $7,500 | 39.4 | 5.25x | 39.3 |
| Michael Porter Jr. SF · BKN vs IND | $7,400 | 37.9 | 5.13x | 40.3 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg SF/PF · GSW vs LAC | $7,600 | 38.9 | 5.12x | 55.0 |
| Darius Garland PG · LAC vs GSW | $8,200 | 41.9 | 5.11x | 26.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic PG · LAL vs TOR | $12,300 | 59.6 | 97.1 | 86.8 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs ORL | $10,100 | 55.4 | 90.5 | 50.0 |
| Scottie Barnes SF/PF · TOR vs LAL | $8,700 | 49.1 | 80.6 | 45.5 |
| Austin Reaves PG/SG · LAL vs TOR | $8,900 | 48.4 | 79.4 | 28.3 |
| Pascal Siakam PF · IND vs BKN | $8,400 | 45.5 | 74.9 | 31.3 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs BOS | $8,300 | 44.1 | 72.7 | 40.0 |
| Darius Garland PG · LAC vs GSW | $8,200 | 41.9 | 69.2 | 26.5 |
| Walker Kessler C · LAL vs TOR | $7,800 | 39.4 | 65.3 | 44.8 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| LAL vs TOR | 147.4 | 114.4 |
| BOS vs ORL | 124.3 | 114.7 |
| TOR vs LAL | 118.2 | 111.4 |
| ORL vs BOS | 102.1 | 107.5 |
| IND vs BKN | 102.0 | 116.7 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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