This slate locked Sat 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 5 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 0 of 9 met or beat their projection; they averaged 35.1 DraftKings points against 50.8 projected.
- Highest projections: 1 of 7 met or beat their projection; they averaged 39.5 DraftKings points against 55.2 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs OKC | $8,600 | 56.4 | 6.56x | 41.8 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs MIL | $8,700 | 56.0 | 6.43x | 24.5 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs SAC | $8,400 | 52.3 | 6.22x | — |
| Zion Williamson PF · NOP vs ATL | $7,700 | 47.9 | 6.22x | 33.0 |
| Evan Mobley PF/C · CLE vs MIL | $8,100 | 49.1 | 6.07x | 41.3 |
| LaMelo Ball PG · MIN vs SAS | $8,500 | 51.3 | 6.03x | 29.5 |
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs MEM | $9,400 | 56.3 | 5.99x | 43.0 |
| Cameron Boozer PF · MEM vs SAC | $7,400 | 43.3 | 5.85x | 42.8 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs NOP | $9,700 | 55.5 | 5.72x | 28.3 |
| Trey Murphy III SG/SF · NOP vs ATL | $7,300 | 41.3 | 5.65x | 32.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama C · SAS vs MIN | $10,900 | 58.7 | 95.7 | 71.8 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs OKC | $8,600 | 56.4 | 92.1 | 41.8 |
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs MEM | $9,400 | 56.3 | 92.0 | 43.0 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs MIL | $8,700 | 56.0 | 91.5 | 24.5 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs NOP | $9,700 | 55.5 | 90.7 | 28.3 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG · OKC vs HOU | $10,400 | 52.6 | 86.1 | 38.0 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs SAC | $8,400 | 52.3 | 85.6 | — |
| LaMelo Ball PG · MIN vs SAS | $8,500 | 51.3 | 84.3 | 29.5 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| CLE vs MIL | 148.0 | 122.4 |
| HOU vs OKC | 141.7 | 110.9 |
| SAC vs MEM | 134.4 | 110.7 |
| SAS vs MIN | 131.4 | — |
| MEM vs SAC | 126.4 | 119.2 |
Build lineups for the next slate
WarriorSim™ Optimization simulates each slate thousands of times and builds up to 150 DraftKings or FanDuel lineups with an upload-ready file. One plan, $29/month.
← Oct 30 · Today's NBA picks · Nov 1 →
Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
More daily picks
NFL picks · NHL picks · MLB picks · PGA picks · NASCAR picks · UFC picks · Soccer picks · WNBA picks