This slate locked Wed 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 11 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 41.1 DraftKings points against 49.6 projected.
- Highest projections: 4 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 47.4 DraftKings points against 53.3 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs MIN | $8,900 | 54.5 | 6.12x | 55.0 |
| Jamal Murray PG · DEN vs TOR | $8,700 | 52.9 | 6.08x | 32.3 |
| Dejounte Murray PG · NOP vs UTA | $7,800 | 46.1 | 5.91x | 42.5 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs IND | $8,500 | 49.8 | 5.86x | 34.0 |
| Scottie Barnes SF/PF · TOR vs DEN | $8,600 | 50.2 | 5.84x | 37.0 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs DET | $9,100 | 52.7 | 5.79x | 31.8 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker PG/SG · ATL vs WAS | $6,900 | 39.8 | 5.77x | 35.5 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs PHI | $9,300 | 53.3 | 5.73x | 57.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs CHI | $8,300 | 47.5 | 5.72x | 37.5 |
| Deni Avdija PG/SF · POR vs PHX | $8,800 | 49.7 | 5.65x | 48.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic C · DEN vs TOR | $12,300 | 59.1 | 96.1 | 70.5 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs MIN | $8,900 | 54.5 | 88.8 | 55.0 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG · OKC vs CLE | $10,300 | 53.6 | 87.5 | 61.5 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs PHI | $9,300 | 53.3 | 86.9 | 57.3 |
| Jamal Murray PG · DEN vs TOR | $8,700 | 52.9 | 86.3 | 32.3 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs DET | $9,100 | 52.7 | 86.0 | 31.8 |
| Scottie Barnes SF/PF · TOR vs DEN | $8,600 | 50.2 | 82.1 | 37.0 |
| Ty Jerome PG/SG · MEM vs IND | $8,500 | 49.8 | 81.5 | 34.0 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| PHI vs DET | 144.8 | 108.7 |
| DEN vs TOR | 140.0 | 118.0 |
| HOU vs MIN | 129.8 | 113.3 |
| MEM vs IND | 126.6 | 117.3 |
| CLE vs OKC | 126.2 | 111.5 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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