This slate locked Sat 7:30 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 5 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 7 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 42.4 DraftKings points against 39.6 projected.
- Highest projections: 4 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 44.8 DraftKings points against 45.1 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George SG · WAS vs OKC | $5,900 | 34.9 | 5.92x | 38.3 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs PHX | $8,900 | 50.7 | 5.70x | 31.5 |
| Trae Young PG · WAS vs OKC | $7,900 | 44.3 | 5.60x | 16.3 |
| Stephen Curry PG · GSW vs ORL | $8,400 | 45.0 | 5.36x | 58.5 |
| AJ Dybantsa SF · WAS vs OKC | $6,300 | 33.6 | 5.33x | 30.0 |
| Alexandre Sarr C · WAS vs OKC | $4,800 | 25.3 | 5.28x | 36.0 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs CLE | $8,500 | 44.7 | 5.25x | 56.3 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs GSW | $8,700 | 45.0 | 5.17x | 58.0 |
| Dyson Daniels PG/SF · ATL vs BKN | $6,300 | 32.0 | 5.08x | 45.0 |
| Donovan Mitchell SG · CLE vs NYK | $8,100 | 40.7 | 5.02x | 54.0 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs PHX | $8,900 | 50.7 | 83.2 | 31.5 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG · OKC vs WAS | $10,400 | 48.6 | 80.0 | 48.5 |
| Stephen Curry PG · GSW vs ORL | $8,400 | 45.0 | 74.2 | 58.5 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs GSW | $8,700 | 45.0 | 74.2 | 58.0 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs CLE | $8,500 | 44.7 | 73.7 | 56.3 |
| Trae Young PG · WAS vs OKC | $7,900 | 44.3 | 73.5 | 16.3 |
| Devin Booker PG/SG · PHX vs HOU | $8,300 | 41.6 | 68.8 | 36.0 |
| Jalen Brunson PG · NYK vs CLE | $8,200 | 40.8 | 67.6 | 53.0 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| NYK vs CLE | 116.1 | — |
| HOU vs PHX | 115.0 | — |
| GSW vs ORL | 114.4 | — |
| WAS vs OKC | 112.8 | 105.6 |
| CLE vs NYK | 111.1 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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