This slate locked Sun 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 5 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 30.6 DraftKings points against 37.6 projected.
- Highest projections: 4 of 7 met or beat their projection; they averaged 46.1 DraftKings points against 44.7 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. PG/SG · SAC vs MIA | $8,400 | 44.0 | 5.23x | 55.8 |
| Darryn Peterson PG/SG · UTA vs MIN | $6,200 | 31.8 | 5.13x | 42.0 |
| Bam Adebayo C · MIA vs SAC | $8,100 | 41.3 | 5.10x | 40.0 |
| PJ Washington PF · DAL vs BKN | $6,200 | 31.1 | 5.02x | 16.3 |
| Paul George SF/PF · BOS vs MIL | $7,300 | 36.5 | 5.00x | 37.8 |
| Jonathan Kuminga PF · MIN vs UTA | $6,000 | 29.6 | 4.94x | 2.5 |
| Kyrie Irving PG/SG · DAL vs BKN | $7,800 | 38.4 | 4.93x | 32.3 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs MIL | $10,000 | 49.1 | 4.91x | 41.0 |
| Dejounte Murray PG · NOP vs LAC | $7,700 | 37.7 | 4.90x | 13.8 |
| Julius Randle PF · BKN vs DAL | $7,500 | 36.5 | 4.87x | 24.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs SAC | $11,300 | 52.1 | 85.2 | 58.0 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs MIL | $10,000 | 49.1 | 80.4 | 41.0 |
| Cooper Flagg SF · DAL vs BKN | $10,100 | 47.6 | 78.1 | 52.8 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. PG/SG · SAC vs MIA | $8,400 | 44.0 | 72.4 | 55.8 |
| Bam Adebayo C · MIA vs SAC | $8,100 | 41.3 | 68.2 | 40.0 |
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs MIA | $9,700 | 41.1 | 67.8 | — |
| Darius Garland PG · LAC vs NOP | $8,500 | 40.4 | 66.8 | 43.0 |
| Kyrie Irving PG/SG · DAL vs BKN | $7,800 | 38.4 | 63.6 | 32.3 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| MIA vs SAC | 124.6 | 123.7 |
| DAL vs BKN | 117.2 | 115.3 |
| SAC vs MIA | 114.7 | 113.6 |
| BOS vs MIL | 114.0 | 117.5 |
| NOP vs LAC | 103.9 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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