This slate locked Tue 7:30 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 5 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 3 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 30.3 DraftKings points against 34.4 projected.
- Highest projections: 3 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 39.7 DraftKings points against 46.3 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries PG/SG · MIL vs NYK | $4,800 | 27.5 | 5.72x | 11.8 |
| Jalen Brunson PG · NYK vs MIL | $8,500 | 46.4 | 5.46x | 31.0 |
| Myles Turner C · MIL vs NYK | $5,000 | 27.0 | 5.40x | 11.3 |
| Kyle Kuzma PF · MIL vs NYK | $4,600 | 24.3 | 5.29x | 17.8 |
| Ryan Rollins PG/SG · MIL vs NYK | $5,500 | 28.9 | 5.25x | 27.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs MIL | $8,900 | 46.7 | 5.24x | 52.5 |
| Klay Thompson SG/SF · MIA vs UTA | $4,900 | 25.1 | 5.13x | 21.8 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. PG/SG · SAC vs ORL | $8,600 | 43.8 | 5.09x | 47.0 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. SF · MIL vs NYK | $5,800 | 29.4 | 5.07x | 27.8 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs SAC | $9,000 | 45.2 | 5.02x | 55.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs UTA | $11,400 | 51.8 | 87.3 | 51.3 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs PHI | $10,100 | 49.2 | 83.1 | 38.5 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs MIL | $8,900 | 46.7 | 78.5 | 52.5 |
| Jalen Brunson PG · NYK vs MIL | $8,500 | 46.4 | 78.2 | 31.0 |
| Franz Wagner SF/PF · ORL vs SAC | $9,000 | 45.2 | 76.6 | 55.3 |
| Domantas Sabonis C · SAC vs ORL | $9,400 | 43.9 | 74.5 | 10.0 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. PG/SG · SAC vs ORL | $8,600 | 43.8 | 74.2 | 47.0 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs BOS | $8,800 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 31.8 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| MIA vs UTA | 126.9 | 118.4 |
| NYK vs MIL | 125.6 | — |
| PHI vs BOS | 121.8 | 108.0 |
| SAC vs ORL | 117.3 | 108.3 |
| BOS vs PHI | 116.6 | 109.7 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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