This slate locked Mon 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 7 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 5 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 37.4 DraftKings points against 40.5 projected.
- Highest projections: 5 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 54.0 DraftKings points against 50.8 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett SG/SF · TOR vs MEM | $7,600 | 44.8 | 5.90x | 27.8 |
| Luka Doncic PG · LAL vs ATL | $12,000 | 66.8 | 5.57x | 71.0 |
| Kyshawn George SG · WAS vs DET | $6,400 | 35.0 | 5.47x | 21.3 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs DEN | $9,000 | 49.1 | 5.46x | 52.0 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter SG/SF · TOR vs MEM | $5,300 | 28.5 | 5.37x | 20.0 |
| Walker Kessler C · LAL vs ATL | $7,700 | 40.6 | 5.28x | 43.0 |
| Dyson Daniels PG/SF · ATL vs LAL | $6,500 | 33.7 | 5.18x | 37.5 |
| Jamal Shead PG/SG · TOR vs MEM | $5,500 | 27.7 | 5.03x | 45.0 |
| Cedric Coward SG · MEM vs TOR | $6,200 | 31.2 | 5.03x | 23.0 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs WAS | $9,500 | 47.7 | 5.02x | 33.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic PG · LAL vs ATL | $12,000 | 66.8 | 108.8 | 71.0 |
| Victor Wembanyama C · SAS vs PHX | $11,300 | 54.1 | 88.3 | 78.3 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs DEN | $9,000 | 49.1 | 80.5 | 52.0 |
| Cooper Flagg SF · DAL vs IND | $9,900 | 48.7 | 79.9 | 73.0 |
| Jalen Johnson PF · ATL vs LAL | $9,700 | 48.0 | 78.7 | 31.8 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs WAS | $9,500 | 47.7 | 78.3 | 33.3 |
| Nikola Jokic C · DEN vs HOU | $11,800 | 46.8 | 76.9 | 65.0 |
| RJ Barrett SG/SF · TOR vs MEM | $7,600 | 44.8 | 74.5 | 27.8 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| LAL vs ATL | 128.6 | 117.4 |
| SAS vs PHX | 117.4 | — |
| HOU vs DEN | 115.3 | 113.9 |
| WAS vs DET | 115.0 | 104.4 |
| ATL vs LAL | 114.0 | 119.0 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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