This slate locked Thu 8:15 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Thu-Mon) slate · 14 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 5 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 22.5 DraftKings points against 20.4 projected.
- Highest projections: 3 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 25.7 DraftKings points against 24.7 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs MIA | $6,500 | 23.0 | 3.54x | 22.5 |
| Jayden Daniels QB · WAS vs PHI | $5,900 | 19.0 | 3.22x | 15.0 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs IND | $6,200 | 19.8 | 3.19x | 20.4 |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs TEN | $7,000 | 22.4 | 3.19x | 45.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs CHI | $9,100 | 29.0 | 3.19x | 26.8 |
| Jared Goff QB · DET vs MIN | $6,600 | 21.0 | 3.18x | 10.0 |
| Vikings DST · MIN vs DET | $3,000 | 9.5 | 3.17x | 7.0 |
| Kirk Cousins QB · LV vs NYJ | $5,500 | 17.4 | 3.16x | 28.2 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs BAL | $7,700 | 23.9 | 3.11x | 27.6 |
| Jordan Love QB · GB vs CAR | $6,300 | 19.2 | 3.05x | 22.5 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs CHI | $9,100 | 29.0 | 47.9 | 26.8 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs MIN | $9,500 | 28.3 | 48.2 | 27.8 |
| Kenneth Walker III RB · KC vs DEN | $8,800 | 24.5 | 43.5 | 12.4 |
| Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs LAC | $8,600 | 24.3 | 42.9 | 25.0 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs BAL | $7,700 | 23.9 | 41.1 | 27.6 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs MIA | $6,500 | 23.0 | 40.4 | 22.5 |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs TEN | $7,000 | 22.4 | 37.2 | 45.5 |
| James Cook III RB · BUF vs BAL | $7,900 | 22.1 | 36.8 | 18.1 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| DET vs MIN | 70.7 | — |
| LAR vs LAC | 61.8 | — |
| CIN vs TEN | 58.8 | — |
| DAL vs ARI | 58.7 | — |
| BUF vs BAL | 57.8 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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