This slate locked Sun 1:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Sun-Mon) slate · 13 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 22.4 DraftKings points against 24.9 projected.
- Highest projections: 1 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 23.8 DraftKings points against 27.6 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs TEN | $7,000 | 27.4 | 3.91x | 45.5 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs BAL | $7,700 | 28.8 | 3.74x | 27.6 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs IND | $6,200 | 23.1 | 3.72x | 20.4 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs MIA | $6,500 | 24.1 | 3.70x | 22.5 |
| Dak Prescott QB · DAL vs ARI | $6,300 | 22.3 | 3.53x | 19.8 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL vs ARI | $8,100 | 27.6 | 3.41x | 12.8 |
| Tee Higgins WR · CIN vs TEN | $6,700 | 22.7 | 3.38x | 40.5 |
| Jared Goff QB · DET vs MIN | $6,600 | 22.3 | 3.38x | 10.0 |
| James Cook III RB · BUF vs BAL | $7,900 | 26.6 | 3.37x | 18.1 |
| Javonte Williams RB · DAL vs ARI | $7,300 | 24.1 | 3.30x | 6.7 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs MIN | $9,500 | 29.9 | 50.8 | 27.8 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs CHI | $9,100 | 29.0 | 47.8 | 26.8 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs BAL | $7,700 | 28.8 | 48.9 | 27.6 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL vs ARI | $8,100 | 27.6 | 50.6 | 12.8 |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs TEN | $7,000 | 27.4 | 44.9 | 45.5 |
| Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs LAC | $8,600 | 26.9 | 47.1 | 25.0 |
| James Cook III RB · BUF vs BAL | $7,900 | 26.6 | 43.8 | 18.1 |
| Javonte Williams RB · DAL vs ARI | $7,300 | 24.1 | 41.5 | 6.7 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| DET vs MIN | 75.0 | 24.7 |
| DAL vs ARI | 74.0 | 31.0 |
| CIN vs TEN | 72.1 | 29.9 |
| BUF vs BAL | 69.6 | 29.1 |
| LAR vs LAC | 68.4 | 26.0 |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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