This slate locked Sun 1:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Sun-Mon) slate · 13 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 15.0 DraftKings points against 21.3 projected.
- Highest projections: 3 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 24.9 DraftKings points against 25.1 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins QB · LV vs SF | $5,300 | 17.7 | 3.34x | 15.6 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs GB | $7,000 | 23.1 | 3.30x | 21.3 |
| Christian McCaffrey RB · SF vs LV | $8,000 | 25.6 | 3.19x | 22.7 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs MIN | $7,400 | 23.4 | 3.16x | 13.9 |
| Drew Lock QB · SEA vs ARI | $4,000 | 12.4 | 3.09x | 12.6 |
| Dak Prescott QB · DAL vs IND | $6,500 | 20.0 | 3.07x | 23.5 |
| Jared Goff QB · DET vs MIA | $6,600 | 20.2 | 3.06x | 6.3 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs MIA | $10,000 | 30.5 | 3.05x | 13.4 |
| Patrick Mahomes QB · KC vs NYJ | $6,100 | 18.6 | 3.05x | 17.5 |
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI vs TB | $7,000 | 21.3 | 3.04x | 3.1 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs MIA | $10,000 | 30.5 | 49.4 | 13.4 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs ARI | $9,300 | 28.2 | 45.2 | 12.1 |
| Christian McCaffrey RB · SF vs LV | $8,000 | 25.6 | 41.2 | 22.7 |
| Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs WAS | $8,800 | 24.2 | 40.4 | 39.0 |
| Kenneth Walker III RB · KC vs NYJ | $9,000 | 23.8 | 42.1 | 39.3 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs MIN | $7,400 | 23.4 | 38.3 | 13.9 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs GB | $7,000 | 23.1 | 38.9 | 21.3 |
| CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL vs IND | $8,300 | 22.1 | 40.2 | 37.5 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| DET vs MIA | 72.3 | 28.3 |
| SF vs LV | 62.9 | 30.7 |
| DAL vs IND | 60.0 | 28.0 |
| KC vs NYJ | 58.5 | 28.3 |
| LAR vs WAS | 57.3 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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