This slate locked Thu 8:15 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Thu-Mon) slate · 15 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 18.2 DraftKings points against 23.2 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 20.4 DraftKings points against 26.3 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs ATL | $7,200 | 28.5 | 3.96x | 29.5 |
| Kirk Cousins QB · LV vs SF | $5,300 | 19.9 | 3.75x | 15.6 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 23.4 | 3.65x | 13.6 |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 22.8 | 3.56x | 8.9 |
| Tee Higgins WR · CIN vs ATL | $7,100 | 24.7 | 3.48x | 20.2 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs GB | $7,000 | 24.1 | 3.44x | 21.3 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs MIN | $7,400 | 25.1 | 3.40x | 13.9 |
| Geno Smith QB · NYJ vs KC | $4,900 | 15.7 | 3.20x | 7.4 |
| C.J. Stroud QB · HOU vs LAC | $5,900 | 18.7 | 3.17x | 39.4 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs ARI | $9,300 | 29.5 | 3.17x | 12.1 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs ARI | $9,300 | 29.5 | 47.1 | 12.1 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET vs MIA | $10,000 | 29.1 | 47.4 | 13.4 |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN vs ATL | $7,200 | 28.5 | 47.0 | 29.5 |
| Puka Nacua WR · LAR vs WAS | $8,800 | 26.1 | 43.4 | 39.0 |
| Josh Allen QB · BUF vs MIN | $7,400 | 25.1 | 41.0 | 13.9 |
| Tee Higgins WR · CIN vs ATL | $7,100 | 24.7 | 43.6 | 20.2 |
| Drake Maye QB · NE vs GB | $7,000 | 24.1 | 40.6 | 21.3 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 23.4 | 38.7 | 13.6 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| CIN vs ATL | 76.0 | — |
| DET vs MIA | 66.9 | — |
| LAR vs WAS | 61.5 | — |
| JAX vs BAL | 60.8 | 24.5 |
| GB vs NE | 58.0 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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