This slate locked Fri 7:00 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Main slate · 8 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 2 of 10 met or beat their projection; they averaged 38.7 DraftKings points against 53.0 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 41.1 DraftKings points against 55.3 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs DAL | $8,200 | 52.0 | 6.34x | 0.0 |
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs CHI | $9,800 | 61.2 | 6.24x | 44.3 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs NYK | $8,600 | 53.0 | 6.17x | 31.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs PHI | $8,500 | 52.2 | 6.14x | 45.5 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs NYK | $8,400 | 51.3 | 6.10x | 42.5 |
| Scottie Barnes SF/PF · TOR vs ORL | $8,400 | 50.6 | 6.03x | 57.3 |
| Cooper Flagg SF · DAL vs HOU | $9,500 | 56.6 | 5.96x | 57.8 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs BKN | $9,600 | 56.2 | 5.86x | 32.8 |
| Pascal Siakam PF · IND vs MIA | $8,000 | 46.5 | 5.82x | 27.8 |
| Anthony Davis PF · WAS vs CHA | $8,700 | 50.5 | 5.80x | 47.8 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum SF/PF · BOS vs CHI | $9,800 | 61.2 | 99.5 | 44.3 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo PF · MIA vs IND | $10,500 | 60.2 | 98.0 | 75.0 |
| Cooper Flagg SF · DAL vs HOU | $9,500 | 56.6 | 92.3 | 57.8 |
| Cade Cunningham PG · DET vs BKN | $9,600 | 56.2 | 91.7 | 32.8 |
| Joel Embiid C · PHI vs NYK | $8,600 | 53.0 | 86.7 | 31.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns PF/C · NYK vs PHI | $8,500 | 52.2 | 85.4 | 45.5 |
| Alperen Sengun PF/C · HOU vs DAL | $8,200 | 52.0 | 85.2 | 0.0 |
| Tyrese Maxey PG · PHI vs NYK | $8,400 | 51.3 | 83.9 | 42.5 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| PHI vs NYK | 144.0 | — |
| HOU vs DAL | 135.5 | 115.4 |
| BOS vs CHI | 134.5 | 125.3 |
| MIA vs IND | 129.4 | 122.7 |
| NYK vs PHI | 128.3 | — |
Build lineups for the next slate
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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