This slate locked Mon 8:15 PM ET. These are the picks StatWarrior published before lock, kept unchanged. The Actual column is each player's DraftKings fantasy points from the official box scores.
DraftKings · Classic (Mon-Thu) slate · 2 games.
How these picks scored
- Top values: 4 of 9 met or beat their projection; they averaged 16.2 DraftKings points against 18.7 projected.
- Highest projections: 2 of 8 met or beat their projection; they averaged 15.1 DraftKings points against 19.7 projected.
One day is a small sample; the track record grades every slate over the last 30 days.
Top values (points per $1K)
| Player | Salary | Proj | Value | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs CHI | $9,100 | 31.3 | 3.44x | 26.8 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 21.0 | 3.28x | 13.6 |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 20.5 | 3.20x | 8.9 |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI vs SEA | $6,100 | 18.4 | 3.01x | 14.0 |
| Sam Darnold QB · SEA vs CHI | $5,300 | 14.4 | 2.71x | 18.5 |
| Emanuel Wilson RB · SEA vs CHI | $5,300 | 14.2 | 2.68x | — |
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI vs SEA | $6,100 | 16.1 | 2.65x | 18.6 |
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI vs SEA | $6,900 | 17.7 | 2.57x | 27.9 |
| Colston Loveland TE · CHI vs SEA | $4,800 | 11.5 | 2.40x | 12.5 |
| Zay Flowers WR · BAL vs JAX | $7,400 | 17.5 | 2.37x | 5.3 |
Highest projections
| Player | Salary | Proj | Ceiling | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA vs CHI | $9,100 | 31.3 | 50.5 | 26.8 |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 13.6 |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX vs BAL | $6,400 | 20.5 | 35.7 | 8.9 |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI vs SEA | $6,100 | 18.4 | 31.9 | 14.0 |
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI vs SEA | $6,900 | 17.7 | 30.1 | 27.9 |
| Zay Flowers WR · BAL vs JAX | $7,400 | 17.5 | 34.3 | 5.3 |
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI vs SEA | $6,100 | 16.1 | 28.5 | 18.6 |
| Derrick Henry RB · BAL vs JAX | $6,700 | 15.1 | 27.9 | 5.6 |
Stack ideas
| Team | Projection | Implied team total |
|---|---|---|
| SEA vs CHI | 59.9 | 24.9 |
| JAX vs BAL | 54.9 | — |
| CHI vs SEA | 52.2 | 21.6 |
| BAL vs JAX | 42.4 | — |
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Projections are model estimates, not guarantees. StatWarrior is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook or DFS operator. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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